Arbroath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
STE
4 - 4
ARB
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
AYR
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 2
AYR
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STE
4 - 0
AYR
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |