Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
26%
24%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 0
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 0
ELG
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 1
QOS
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALL
0 - 2
AYR
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ALL
1 - 0
HOM
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 0
ALL
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
QOS
2 - 0
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALL
4 - 2
STE
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |