Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
ARB
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARB
4 - 2
STR
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 1
ALL
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 3
DUN
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
ALL
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALL
2 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DUM
4 - 1
ALL
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |