Arbroath vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
10º
10º
52
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 3
DUN
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
PAR
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AIR
5 - 2
ARB
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
ARB
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 2
RAI
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
AIR
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
AIR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AIR
5 - 2
ARB
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
AIR
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
AIR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |