Arbon 05 vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 4
YFJ
13%
19%
69%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
UST
6 - 1
ARB
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 0
ARB
61%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 3
MEL
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WID
5 - 1
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
WOH
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 2
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCV
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 0
STG
12%
16%
72%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |