Arbon 05 vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMR
1 - 0
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 4
WIL
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIN
5 - 0
ARB
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 2
CHU
20%
20%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 6
KRE
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 0
UST
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SIR
1 - 3
FRE
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
MEL
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
WID
1 - 2
FRE
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 2
KOS
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |