Erbil vs Shabab Al Ordon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
RIF
0 - 3
ARB
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALN
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
RIF
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
6 - 0
ALA
92%
7%
2%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALM
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shabab Al Ordon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 1
SHA
7%
13%
80%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
5 - 1
SHA
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 1
ALS
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 1
ALA
86%
11%
4%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIF
2 - 0
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |