Erbil vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
2 - 0
ARB
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
GHA
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 1
KIR
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 2
ARB
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
MAS
0 - 0
PAK
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
4 - 0
SHO
75%
16%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
2 - 0
ARB
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
FKL
1 - 1
PAK
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PAK
1 - 0
DSA
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |