Erbil vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
26.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
ARB
46%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 3
ALZ
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALK
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 0
ARB
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALK
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 2
ALK
40%
31%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KAR
0 - 0
BAG
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
NMI
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
ALN
2 - 1
BAG
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
ALS
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |