Erbil vs Al-Riffa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
6 - 0
ALA
92%
7%
2%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALM
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 3
ARB
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 0
DUH
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
2 - 1
ARB
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIF
2 - 0
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 2
RIF
32%
23%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
RIF
7%
13%
80%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
RIF
6 - 1
SIT
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
RIF
0 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |