Erbil vs Al Qadsia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
KFC
1 - 2
ARB
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 1
KFC
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 0
HAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
HAN
0 - 1
ARB
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
ALZ
1 - 4
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al Qadsia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALQ
3 - 0
ALJ
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
PER
0 - 6
ALQ
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALQ
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALQ
2 - 1
ALN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ALQ
4 - 2
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |