Erbil vs Al Oruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
ALS
69%
21%
11%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
ARB
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ARB
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
ZAK
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUH
1 - 1
ARB
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al Oruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
ALO
2 - 1
SHA
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ALO
1 - 0
ALT
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ALO
4 - 1
EAS
24%
24%
53%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALO
45%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
KAZ
1 - 1
ALO
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |