Erbil vs Al Karkh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 0
ARB
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAF
1 - 1
ARB
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ARB
2 - 1
SFC
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
QAS
1 - 1
ARB
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALS
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 0
ALK
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
KAR
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 0
DIW
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 1
KAR
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 2
KAR
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |