Erbil vs Al Ansar Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 4
ARB
8%
18%
74%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALS
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALQ
3 - 0
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
FNJ
0 - 4
ARB
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
FNJ
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ansar Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 0
FNJ
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
5 - 1
ALA
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 3
TAD
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |