UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Araz PFK vs Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2006 |
ARA
2 - 0
GEY
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
KHA
0 - 0
ARA
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
QAR
2 - 1
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ARA
3 - 0
SAH
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
KLA
0 - 0
ARA
27%
24%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 0
TIR
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
TIR
1 - 1
POL
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SHF
2 - 1
TIR
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
NIS
1 - 1
TIR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
TIR
0 - 0
TIG
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |