Araz PFK vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
8º
8º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 1
ARA
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 1
ARA
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
IRV
2 - 8
ARA
3%
9%
89%
|
73 | 16 | 57 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
SFK
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
SUM
54%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SEB
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
SUM
3 - 1
KAR
33%
22%
45%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |