Araz PFK vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
8º
8º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 1
ARA
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 1
ARA
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
IRV
2 - 8
ARA
3%
9%
89%
|
72 | 15 | 57 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
SFK
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
SUM
54%
23%
22%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SEB
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
SUM
3 - 1
KAR
33%
22%
45%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |