Araz PFK vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
2º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
47% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
32.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCK
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 4
SFK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 1
SEB
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SEB
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
4 - 0
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |