Araz PFK vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
9º
5º
0
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 60 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 57 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 51 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 50 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 22 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
QAR
32%
26%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 2
QAR
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 3
SFK
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
4 - 0
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 3
TUR
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 0
FCK
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 0
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |