Araxá vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araxá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
RES
22%
24%
53%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
ARA
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 2
ARA
30%
26%
45%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 0
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 3
TUP
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 0
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |