Aravaca vs Vicálvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOB
2 - 1
ARA
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
TRC
29%
23%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 0
SSR
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
ARA
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAG
1 - 1
ARA
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vicálvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
1 - 1
COL
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 1
CDV
65%
21%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
1 - 2
SIE
22%
24%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDV
47%
25%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CDV
4 - 0
SPB
78%
15%
8%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |