Aravaca vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PNT
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
NAV
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
PBO
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
POZ
0 - 0
ARA
63%
22%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
ALC
63%
20%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATB
1 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RVB
1 - 1
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 0
CVI
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |