Aravaca vs AD Torrejón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
13º
12º
30
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
2 - 5
RVB
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 1
TRC
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ARA
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AD Torrejón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 1
TRJ
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TRJ
1 - 2
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LRZ
3 - 2
TRJ
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 3
TRJ
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 2
ALC
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |