Aravaca vs Sporting Hortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
TOB
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SSR
0 - 1
ARA
14%
20%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 0
UZN
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CPO
0 - 2
ARA
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 0
MOR
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 2
SFN
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOB
3 - 2
SHO
53%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 0
SSR
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UZN
1 - 2
SHO
79%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 3
CPO
24%
23%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |