Aravaca vs Sporting Hortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
PER
51%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BPI
0 - 2
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
RCA
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
ARA
57%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SHO
0 - 1
CAN
35%
25%
41%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SHO
1 - 1
DOS
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
SHO
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SHO
3 - 3
PER
34%
24%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BPI
1 - 1
SHO
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |