Aravaca vs Alcobendas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SAG
1 - 0
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AVI
0 - 5
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
RCA
52%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PER
5 - 0
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
BPI
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RCA
0 - 2
ALC
34%
27%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
6 - 1
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
SIE
36%
26%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOB
1 - 0
ALC
22%
25%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 1
CDS
33%
26%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |