Aravaca vs Alcobendas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 3
AVI
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAG
0 - 0
ARA
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
VLP
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
TOB
2 - 2
ARA
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDS
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALC
49%
25%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
SHO
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BPI
1 - 2
ALC
28%
26%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |