Aravaca vs DAV Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
GET
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SFN
3 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 1
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
DAV Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
STA
0 - 2
ALC
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
POZ
2 - 0
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
ALC
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 3
STA
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
TRC
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |