Aravaca vs AD Parla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 3
SFN
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 1
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 3
CDM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AD Parla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
ADP
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ADP
1 - 4
ATB
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
ADP
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 1
RVB
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CVI
2 - 3
ADP
7%
17%
77%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |