Aravaca vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RVB
0 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CVI
90%
8%
2%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SSR
3 - 0
ARA
74%
18%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ADA
36%
27%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 1
ARA
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 5
ALC
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 1
MEX
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 2
MEX
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 1
RVB
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CVI
0 - 1
MEX
6%
18%
76%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | -1 |