Aravaca vs Leganés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
10º
9º
3
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
6 | 69 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 63 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 61 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 58 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 52 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 40 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 17.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 53.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRC
0 - 0
ARA
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
ARA
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
SSR
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UZN
3 - 5
ARA
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 3
CPO
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
4 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 1
CDT
42%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
CDM
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
ILL
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |