Aravaca vs Leganés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
RVB
4 - 0
ARA
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
ADA
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
ARA
64%
22%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATB
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 3
ALC
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
POZ
1 - 1
LEG
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 2
ALC
29%
25%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VLP
1 - 0
LEG
46%
26%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 6
CDM
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |