Aravaca vs Galapagar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
SHO
1 - 1
ARA
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 1
DOS
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 0
CDS
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
4 - 2
PER
51%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
GAL
5 - 0
AVI
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RCA
1 - 1
GAL
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 0
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
GAL
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 0
EFC
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |