Aravaca vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+145%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
YEB
2 - 5
ARA
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 1
MOR
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ELE
2 - 2
ARA
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
ARA
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 0
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RCA
1 - 2
EFC
45%
25%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 2
SIE
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
EFC
53%
24%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
EFC
2 - 0
SSR
38%
23%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |