Aravaca vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+149%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SSR
1 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 2
ARA
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
BPI
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TOB
0 - 3
ARA
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
EFC
1 - 0
AVI
49%
23%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EFC
2 - 1
TRC
11%
19%
71%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
EFC
1 - 2
COL
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
EFC
0 - 1
SHO
29%
24%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CDS
2 - 0
EFC
74%
17%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |