Aravaca vs Internacional de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 4
ALC
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATB
1 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Internacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
INT
2 - 2
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATB
0 - 1
INT
67%
21%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
INT
2 - 0
ALC
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RVB
3 - 1
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
INT
2 - 0
CVI
84%
13%
4%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |