Aravaca vs CD San Roque EFF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
4 - 2
PER
51%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CVI
0 - 0
ARA
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
EFC
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SSR
1 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Roque EFF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDS
3 - 0
AVI
62%
20%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RCA
2 - 0
CDS
48%
24%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDS
3 - 5
SAG
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CDS
2 - 2
COL
19%
22%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
CDS
69%
18%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |