Aravaca vs CD San Roque EFF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 1
ARA
30%
26%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
ADO
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COS
1 - 2
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 2
CVI
48%
25%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
POZ
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Roque EFF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDS
2 - 3
GAL
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
CDS
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDS
0 - 2
TRC
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LRZ
5 - 1
CDS
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDS
1 - 1
PER
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |