Aravaca vs CD Moraleja Futbol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 4
ARA
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
YEB
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
5 - 2
ARA
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
ELE
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARA
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Moraleja Futbol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
COL
26%
23%
52%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RCA
2 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
SIE
19%
24%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SSR
3 - 2
MOR
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EFC
1 - 0
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |