Aravaca vs CD Canillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
ARA
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAJ
6 - 1
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 1
COL
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
GAL
36%
24%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
SSR
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
CAN
57%
24%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAN
12%
22%
66%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |