Aravaca vs Cala Pozuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
13º
12º
17
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 1
ARA
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 3
ADP
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARA
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
LRZ
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cala Pozuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CPO
2 - 3
RVB
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 1
CPO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CPO
3 - 3
LEG
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
0 - 0
CPO
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CPO
0 - 2
TRC
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |