Aravaca vs Barrio Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TOB
0 - 3
ARA
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SAG
1 - 0
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AVI
0 - 5
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
RCA
52%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barrio Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BPI
3 - 0
AVI
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 2
BPI
74%
17%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BPI
1 - 1
TRC
16%
22%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GAL
1 - 0
BPI
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BPI
1 - 1
SHO
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |