Aravaca vs Barrio Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RCA
1 - 1
ARA
32%
25%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GAL
0 - 0
ARA
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 3
AVI
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barrio Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BPI
2 - 2
CAN
15%
24%
62%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SHO
1 - 2
BPI
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BPI
0 - 2
MOR
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PER
4 - 0
BPI
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BPI
0 - 1
DOS
46%
25%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |