Araucária vs AA Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araucária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
AEC
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 2
GEM
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
APU
3 - 1
AEC
63%
21%
16%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PFC
4 - 1
AEC
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 2
CAB
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
AA Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IGU
3 - 1
GEM
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
IGU
0 - 1
PAR
15%
21%
65%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PST
0 - 1
IGU
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
IGU
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 1
TOL
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |