Araripina FC vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
YPI
2 - 0
ARA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
NAU
18%
21%
62%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 3
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
YPI
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
SPO
10%
17%
73%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
AME
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |