Araripina FC vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ARA
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
ARA
87%
10%
4%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
NAU
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 0
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PET
0 - 1
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
PET
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 0
PET
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |