Araripina FC vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
SAL
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
ARA
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
SPO
11%
18%
71%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | +2 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
PET
65%
20%
14%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
PET
1 - 0
CAB
42%
25%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
YPI
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
PET
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 0
AME
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |