Araripina FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 3
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 2
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SET
2 - 2
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
SAL
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |