Araripina FC vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 2
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
YPI
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
ARA
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CEN
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 3
AME
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ACA
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPO
13%
22%
66%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
3 - 0
ACA
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 2
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | -1 |