Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
36
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
BKM
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
ARA
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 1
SHI
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 2
AKT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
PKU
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
MAQ
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |