Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
36
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
PYU
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 4
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
BAN
34%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
SHI
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
BKM
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
SHI
9%
13%
78%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |